Climate Analogues Explorer

This tool was developed to identify areas with similar climatic conditions that are separated in space or time - i.e. past or future climates and different geographical areas. It helps you to consider strategies for your farm based on future climate predictions for your area, according to chosen parameters. 

 

Read about our selection process for including tools on Climate Kelpie

 

Who this tool is for

The tool was developed by Climate Change in Australia for anyone who wants future climate predictions for their area. You may be considering climate adaptation strategies on your property, for example, and want an indication of the likely future climate. 

 

Questions this tool answers

  • What will the climate of my region be like in the future? 
  • How can I prepare for an increase in temperature or reduction in rainfall?

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What this tool does

Using current average annual rainfall and maximum temperatures for selected seasons, the tool matches the future climate of your region with the current climate of another region. For example, the future climate of Melbourne at the end of the century is predicted to be more like the current climate of Dubbo in New South Wales, based on selected parameters.

Locating a region with a current climate that your own region may have in future will help you understand expected climatic change and make more-informed decisions to adapt to any changes. 

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Inputs

You select your location either on a map (which shows the locations available in the tool) or from the ‘select locality’ drop-down list. 

Once you have selected your location, you can either:

  • use the temperature and rainfall sliders to select a future temperature or rainfall change scenario (e.g. a 0.2 °C temperature increase and -2 per cent rainfall change), or  
  • use the ‘preset scenario’ settings to automatically set the temperature and rainfall change sliders to values that match possible future climate scenarios. Settings include:
    • cluster (from a list of NRM clusters: e.g. Central Slopes, Murray Basin)
    • emissions scenario based on current predictions (e.g. RCP 2.6)
    • time period you are interested in viewing (e.g. 2030, 2050) 
    • description of changes (either ‘maximum consensus’, ‘hottest and driest’ or ‘least hot and wettest’).

Advanced options are also available, allowing you to:

  • include or exclude particular seasons, separately for temperature and rainfall 
  • adjust the tolerances for a successful match
  • include or exclude rainfall seasonality (proportion of summer + winter rainfall that falls in summer)
  • include or exclude continentality (difference in summer and winter temperature)

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Outputs

The tool searches the database of current climates – the average maximum temperature and rainfall for your selected area and season – to find all locations that match these projected changes. The map will show lines connecting your location to areas where the current climate matches the future predicted climate of your location. 

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Reliability

Some aspects of local climate are not considered by the tool, such as frost days and other local climate influences, radiation and soil types. For this reason, using solely analogues in adaptation planning is not advised, without also considering more detailed information from other sources.

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History

The Climate Analogue Explorer was developed by Climate Change in Australia, in collaboration with CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

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Support available

For more information and support for this tool, contact CSIRO. Advice on using climate change projections is also available on the Climate Change in Australia website.

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Where to get it

The Climate Analogues Explorer is available on the Climate Change in Australia website.

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Cost

 Free

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