Rain Forecaster

Rain Forecaster is a decision-support tool for sugarcane farmers to predict the chances of rain and whether rain is likely to affect yield.

Read about our selection process for including tools on Climate Kelpie

 

Who this tool is for

Sugarcane growers on the east coast of Australia.

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Questions this tool answers

  • What is the chance of rain leading up to and during harvest?
  • If it rains this growing season before harvest, how will it affect my yield?

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What this tool does

Rain Forecaster is a software package for predicting rainfall and the number of wet days in a season. It allows you to assess early in the year if there is likely to be a wet finish to the harvest season.

Forecasts are based on:

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Inputs

Rain Forecaster contains historical climate records, sea surface temperatures and SOI phases. You can choose the:

  • region and location
  • forecast method
  • number of months for the forecast
  • response type (rainfall or wet days)
  • output type

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Outputs

Rain Forecaster displays the forecast results as tables, graphs and maps.

Figures 1 and 2 show the chance of rainfall in September to November for the Macknade sugar mill in Ingham, based on the SOI-phase forecasting method.

Figure 1. Chance of rainfall in September–November for the Macknade sugar mill, Ingham

Figure 2. Chance of rainfall in September–November for the Macknade sugar mill, Ingham

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Reliability

Rain Forecaster is most reliable for sugarcane farmers in eastern Australia because it is based on the Southern Oscillation Index.

Because it predicts rainfall based on historical data, it cannot take climate change into account.

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History

Rain Forecaster was mainly funded by the Sugar Research and Development Corporation (now Sugar Research Australia) and developed by researchers at the School of Engineering and Physical Sciences, James Cook University.

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Support available

Local industry extension providers offer support for Rain Forecaster.

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Where to get it

Contact your local climate coordinator or extension officer.

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Cost

One-off cost

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JRegistry Object
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            [pathwaypage] => 0
            [pathwaytype] => 1
            [scale] => 
            [topic] => Rainfall probabilities and effect on yield
            [cost] => One-off fee
            [summary_commodity] => Sugar
            [summary_region] => Queensland and northern New South Wales
            [tabledisplayscale] => 0
            [tabledisplaycost] => 0
            [tabledisplaytopic] => 0
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)


JRegistry Object ( [data:protected] => stdClass Object ( [pathwaypage] => 0 [pathwaytype] => 1 [scale] => [topic] => Rainfall probabilities and effect on yield [cost] => One-off fee [summary_commodity] => Sugar [summary_region] => Queensland and northern New South Wales [tabledisplayscale] => 0 [tabledisplaycost] => 0 [tabledisplaytopic] => 0 [tablesubpagetitle] => Page ) )

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